Lala strengthens into a hurricane and bears down on Hawaii’s Big Island with heavy rain
Hurricane Lala began its path toward Hawaii’s Big Island on Saturday, though the possibility of a direct hit, which would be the first in 155 years, was uncertain.
In its latest forecast discussion, National Hurricane Center meteorologists said the hurricane is displaying a possible new track, making it “unclear if Lala will actually make a landfall on the Big Island.”
The tropical cyclone is unleashing what could be life-threatening rain on the Big Island as it produces sustained winds of 75 mph, hurricane center director Michael Brennan said in a video update at 11 a.m. local time.
“Some locations have already picked up more than a foot of rain,” he said. “We’re also seeing numerous hurricane-level wind gusts, especially at higher elevations.”
The most inundated part of the island is its windward or eastern side, with higher elevations getting both precipitation and the strongest winds, Brennan said.
Though the center’s forecast cone for the hurricane puts it in line with a historic, direct hit on the Big Island, forecasters late Saturday morning said a developing low-pressure trough to the west could cause Lala to brush by to the south.
The tropical cyclone could strengthen in the next few hours, with its most-damaging time frame being the next 6 to 12 hours, Brennan said. But afterward, the impacts of interacting with the Big Island will weaken it significantly, hurricane center forecasters said.
Lala was located about 65 miles south-southeast of South Point, on the Big Island, and moving in a northwesterly direction at 8 mph, the center said in its latest update.
Earlier, it said Lala’s maximum sustained winds had increased to 75 mph, making it a Category 1 hurricane. That wind speed remains, according to the update.
The eyewall was forecast to move over or near the island’s southern end by the evening, lashing its worst winds at volcanic slopes thousands of feet above sea level.
Forecasters said higher elevations on the island, dominated by the towering Mauna Kea volcano, could get as much as 25 inches (63.5 centimeters) of rain.
That could cause life-threatening mudslides in a mountainous area where people live off the grid in improvised housing, and authorities urged them to find safe shelters quickly.
Bobby Camara, a 75-year-old lifelong resident of the Big Island, said he planned to “hunker down, cross my fingers, hope the lights don’t go out” at a care home just outside Hilo. He said gas stations were busy as people sought fuel for chain saws and vehicles.
“I think stocking up is part of life over here. … You learn to be self-reliant,” Camara said.
Gov. Josh Green described it as an “enormous storm,” and warned of destructive flooding and even the possibility of wildfires kicked up by strong winds across the island chain. Electricity was knocked out for 10% of customers on the Big Island, according to poweroutage.us.
Mike Caputo, who lives in Keaau, near the island’s east coast, said the main concern was flash flooding and fallen trees, especially albizia, a common tree.
“They’re not very sturdy, but they grow extremely large,” said Caputo, 50, a local fire captain. “They can make roads impassable. I made sure my trees were trimmed a few days ago.”
The Big Island was under a hurricane warning, and tropical storm warnings were issued for the islands of Maui, Molokai, Lanai, Kahoolawe, Oahu, Kauai and Niihau.
A Category 3 hurricane hit the northeast corner of the Big Island in 1871, according to research by a University of Hawaii atmospheric scientist. The latest forecast has Lala striking “very close to the southern tip of the Big Island,” said Vanessa Almanza, a National Weather Service meteorologist in Honolulu.
Shelters were opened, events were canceled and ranchers were urged to leave their cattle in pastures, rather than structures that might collapse. “It doesn’t take landfall to create destruction,” Almanza said.
The hurricane center predicted 8 to 12 inches (20.3 to 30.5 centimeters) of total rainfall across Maui and the lower elevations of the Big Island, and 4 to 6 inches (10.2 to 15.2 centimeters) across the island chain.
Officials urge taking the storm seriously
State Rep. Jeanné Kapela called for people to remain alert. The southern end of the island is remote and rural, with agriculture including coffee and cattle, but it’s growing in population because of its affordability. Kapela was especially worried about people who live off the grid.
“If you feel now that your house doesn’t have a great roof or might not be able to withstand hurricane force winds, then first things first you go to a family or friend’s house and you kind of hunker down there,” she said in a text message to The Associated Press.
Many Hawaiians are still dealing with the aftermath of devastating floods in March. Growers still recovering are worried about more damage, according to Hawaii Farm Bureau director Brian Miyamoto.
Wildfire risks increase during windy weather
As winds ramped up across the islands, Almanza said dry and breezy conditions outside the storm would elevate fire concerns.
In 2023 the Maui town of Lahaina burned during extreme winds as a hurricane passed far to the south.
“Since the fire, everybody is way more aware of weather in general and our environment and things that are happening,” said Archie Kalepa of Lahaina, who is well known in the area for his surfing, paddling and other ocean skills.
Kauai, which is several islands northwest up the archipelago from the Big Island, is where Hurricane Iniki made landfall as a Category 4 hurricane in 1992 — an El Nino year like this one, when a warming of the Pacific near the equator increases Pacific hurricane activity and affects weather patterns across the globe.
“It did $3 billion worth of damage. It destroyed thousands of homes, and it did kill six people,” said Steven Businger, the University of Hawaii atmospheric scientist. “We just can never know if a storm is going to turn.”
Original source: https://www.nbcnews.com/
